As I’ve said several times already, I’m not one of those who claim manmade global warming (AGW) is a fraud. I don’t claim it can’t happen. I think it’s wildly premature to draw any conclusions like that. Maybe manmade CO2 is affecting the climate. Maybe it’s partly responsible for the warming. But it’s the insane anti-logical leap from possibility to certainty, and the even more anti-logical leap from that certainty to the conclusion the warming is going to be Big and Bad and KILL PEOPLE that really sets my rational teeth on edge.
In the sane world – where some people do live at least some of the time, each of those conclusions requires separate analysis and separate confirmation. You need to look fist at the question “is it warming”? Then at the question “why?”, then ask “how warm is it likely to get?” and last ”will this be bad, good or nothing much?”.
But in the weird demon-haunted world of climate absolutism this kind of reasoning means you’re out to destroy mankind and planet earth. It means you bathe in crude oil and dream about pollution and laugh at Fukushima and just hate hate hate all the lovely pretty things in life like birds and ladybugs and little children playing happily in the sun.
We all know that toxic blog “How to Talk to a Skeptic” – well here’s how it is to talk to a Believer:
Believer: Oh my God! The ice is melting – we’re all gonna die!
Doubter: Isn’t that a bit of an over-reaction?
Believer: Oh really? Never heard of – Climate Change?
Doubter: Well, yes, of course…
Believer: We’re changing the climate.
Doubter: Actually that’s not the same thing…
Believer: We’re pumping tons and tons of CO2 into the air and the climate’s getting warmer. Are you telling me that’s just a coincidence?
Doubter: Well it might be. The science is complicated. No one even knows if the extra CO2 in the atmosphere is all being produced by human activity yet. It might be coming from somewhere else, like the ocean. And before we decide an enhanced greenhouse effect is causing the warming there are other factors we need to do eliminate that might also be causing it.
Believer: Oh really, like what?
Doubter: The end of the Little Ice Age, fluctuations in solar activity, oscillations in ocean currents – there’s a lot of factors.
Believer: What about the polar bears?
Believer: If global warming isn’t happening…
Doubter: I didn’t say…
Believer: IF GLOBAL WARMING ISN”T HAPPENING then why are the polar bears all dying?
Doubter: Actually I don’t think they are
Believer: Oh my God, you don’t even care about the polar bears dying! The polar bears are all gonna die and you don’t care.
Doubter: Look, there’s no evidence the polar bears are dying…
Believer: We don’t have time for evidence! If we wait for evidence all the polar bears will be dead
Doubters: The polar bears aren’t dying, there are more fekking polar bears now than there were fifty years ago!
Believer: You would say that wouldn’t you!
Believer: Distracting the argument with quibbling over details
Believer: The children, think of the children!
Doubter: What children!?
Believer: They’re never gonna know what a polar bear is.
Doubter: I don’t even know what you’re talking about any more!!!!!!
Believer: My God, you’re a Denier! You’re denying climate change!
Doubter: No I’m not.
Believer: More Denial! You’re a Denier! You think the world’s flat, and smoking is good for you
Doubter: No I don’t.
Believer: See! See! You can’t stop denying. It’s an obsession.
Believer: Who’s paying you? Who’s paying you to be a Denier?….You should be in an asylum. You should be in jail. You should be made to confess your lies. You’re working for evil, you’re worse than Hitler, you’re…you’re…
You’re a WITCH!
Yes, this is Salem circa 1692. Sanity has gone for one of its periodic naps. The agenda is being driven by people who are so hysterical, so terrified, they can’t even begin to conceptualise how ridiculous and dangerous they’ve become. They’ve entered that glassy, Sargasso Sea of the human psyche where thought is stopped by conviction. There they are, the latest in a long, snaking trail of mad men, lost in hubris, vainly asserting the newest, ultimate, tragically ridiculous and always finally defeated “truth, ” prepared to do almost anything to defend it.
Lord help us all.